THE FUTURE HAS BEGUN
The world around us is changing and the pace of change is faster than ever before. The future has begun and those who do not want to get left behind must ensure their ability to look ahead. That is why ISO has developed a Standardization Foresight Framework; to help us look more systematically at the long-term and to encourage discussion and exchange within the ISO system about future opportunities for International Standardization. This trend report is the output of the first phase of the Standardization Foresight Framework: environmental scanning. It is designed to support the ISO community to navigate global trends as we work towards achieving the goals and priorities of the ISO Strategy 2030.
The ISO Strategy 2030 outlines our vision and our mission for the next 10 years and a set of goals and priorities to help us get there. The three goals are stepping stones to our vision. We will focus on six priorities to achieve our goals and maximize our impact.
Above all, what emerges clearly from the trend descriptions in this report is the high degree of convergence and interlinkages between trends. Societal trends are inextricably linked to technological advances, which are themselves affected by economic and political trends, and so on. Many future challenges will arise at the intersections of these trends, as domains that were once distinct from one another – such as biology and information technology – become increasingly intertwined. What could this mean for standardization?
selected trends and STEEPS classification
This trend report does not claim to be all-encompassing – the trends presented here are high-level and have been selected because of their relevance to standardization or to the international landscape within which ISO operates. They are long-term driving forces that are already having a visible impact at the global level. Specific events, such as the COVID-19 pandemic or the conflict in Ukraine, are generally not mentioned at this level, although an understanding of the trends presented here can help us to better grasp the context of these events and think more broadly about their potential long-term consequences. Taking inspiration from the STEEPS analysis, which is a tool used in strategy to evaluate the external factors impacting an organization (also known as PEST or PESTLE analysis), we have chosen to classify our selected trends using the STEEPS categories of: ■Society, ■Technology, ■Environment, ■Economy, ■Politics and ■Science.
RESEARCH AND METHODOLOGY
The contents of this report are the result of an environmental scanning process implemented by the ISO/CS Research and Innovation unit (R&I). In order to identify the list of trends relevant for standardization, the R&I team selected and reviewed publicly available trend reports from a wide variety of organizations (including governments, international organizations, think tanks, NGOs, research institutes and consulting firms). To be selected for review, the trend reports had to meet a series of criteria: less than five years old, published by a reputable source (no ideological bias, no profit motive), include references and a clear methodology for identifying and investigating trends, and be regional or global in focus. The trends chosen for inclusion in this report were those that featured most frequently across these publications and/or those that had a strong link to standardization, as revealed by mapping the trends to ISO’s current and planned technical activities.